Wednesday, December 23, 2009

Technical and fundamental analysis in a row

Technical analysis is based on:
1. examination of chart formations
2. differentiation of trends
3. identification of buying and selling prospects
4. analyzing highest and lowest price of a currency
5. understanding of opening/closing prices and volume of transactions

Depending on the trading style, forex trader can use technical analysis on a daily basis (5 minute, 15 minute, hourly), weekly or monthly basis.

Technical analysis uses the assumption that all market information and possible currency volatility can be obtained from the price chain. Forex trader who uses technical analysis believes in three fundamental assumptions - the market moves according to all factors, the price movement is purposeful and connected to these events, the history tends to repeat itself over and over again. In other words a trader looks back at what has already happened and makes decisions based on the believe that volatility will generally have the same pattern of the past.

Fundamental analysis uses financial news and economic news, such earnings and consumer reports, economic data releases, interest rates updates etc., together with non financial information, such as political news, weather broadcasts to determine the trades.

Fundamental analysis involves the analysis of current political and economical situation in the country of the selected currency. Generally, the country's economy relies on the following factors:
1. Central Bank's interest rates
2. National unemployment data
3. Tax policy
4. Inflation rate
5. Political unrest or transition

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